Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 1 |
Aug 23 2025 |
L |
Kansas
|
7-31 |
1496.1 |
-120.3
|
1375.8 |
54.7% |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
Georgia Southern
|
42-14 |
1375.8 |
+49.9
|
1425.7 |
33.9% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Oregon State
|
36-27 |
1425.7 |
+44.9
|
1470.6 |
55.1% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
W |
Southern
|
56-7 |
1470.6 |
+0.0
|
1470.6 |
45.8% |
| 5 |
Sep 21 2025 |
W |
Hawai'i
|
23-21 |
1470.6 |
+38.7
|
1509.3 |
62.1% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
Nevada
|
20-17 |
1509.3 |
+5.5
|
1514.8 |
91.3% |
| 8 |
Oct 10 2025 |
L |
Colorado State
|
21-49 |
1514.8 |
-62.0
|
1452.8 |
78.7% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
San Diego State
|
0-23 |
1452.8 |
-56.0
|
1396.8 |
58.5% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
W |
Boise State
|
30-7 |
1396.8 |
+76.6
|
1473.4 |
13.1% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Wyoming
|
24-3 |
1473.4 |
+21.7
|
1495.1 |
67.9% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
Utah State
|
17-28 |
1495.1 |
-65.6
|
1429.5 |
71.1% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
San José State
|
41-14 |
1429.5 |
+24.8
|
1454.3 |
76.9% |
| 19 |
Dec 27 2025 |
W |
Miami (OH)
|
18-3 |
1454.3 |
+41.6
|
1495.9 |
51.0% |